bronco21016 7 hours ago

There are some other pictures circulating showing the exterior of the aircraft. It definitely appears something hit the aircraft. There is a skid mark on the frame around the window.[1]

Will be interesting to read if an investigative report is made public.

[1]https://viewfromthewing.com/new-cockpit-photos-may-show-what...

  • stevehawk 3 hours ago

    anyone know why these photos have random paperclip/clippy icons?

    • dmbche 14 minutes ago

      Not sure but first thought was part of the right to repair movement having adopted clippy as a mascot/logo (louis rossman)

    • slicktux 3 hours ago

      Probably OPs’ version of watermark..?

      • Archonical an hour ago

        Watermarks usually have branding to indicate ownership. Two distinct 3D paperclip overlays don't seem like watermarks and JonNYC doesn't use them in all photos he's posted on his thread on Bluesky.

        They don't even seem to serve as visual cues.

  • fragmede 6 hours ago

    Interesting, that link says it might just be hail.

    • bronco21016 6 hours ago

      A lot doesn't add up from that article though. The writer mentions the window in question is the Captain's window. From the pictures, it appears to be the First Officer's window. Also, the writer mentions pock marks consistent with hail damage in other areas of the aircraft but I haven't found any images substantiating that.

      Hail is absolutely the most probably explanation, the article points to two other instances with similar outcomes. I think the doubt comes from the lack of evidence of hail or convective activity or other hail damage on the aircraft. Also, the pilot reportedly said he saw something coming at the aircraft.

      • grapesodaaaaa 3 minutes ago

        I feel like a hail would cause a strong radar return that would have been noticed or at least documented by NEXRAD or onboard systems.

        I’m sure the NTSB investigation will consider this angle, and we will find out eventually.

      • JCM9 5 hours ago

        Most journalists are pretty bad when it comes to covering aviation so I wouldn’t put much weight on the discrepancies. Half the time they can’t tell the difference between a jet and a Cessna 172. Seriously.

        • thayne an hour ago

          Journalists are generally pretty bad at covering any technical topic, unless the journalist has some specific training in that topic, which is rare.

          • herewulf 22 minutes ago

            Indeed. As an engineer I ask an expert to review anything technical that I write (or program) for accuracy where I'm not an expert, but for some reason journalists don't do this. And so here we are.

bigbrained124 10 minutes ago

So normally your wounds don’t scab over instantaneously, what is the real story here? Obviously the majority of satellites are actually balloons/sataloons.

  • RyanOD 7 minutes ago

    I didn't see any scabs. Wounds looked quite fresh to me.

jjwiseman 25 minutes ago

It seems like the article has been updated: "Sources told AVweb Sunday that the focus of the investigation is on a weather balloon payload." This is far more likely than a meteor.

JBiserkov 7 hours ago
  • gpm 7 hours ago

    Interesting that there's been a bird strike at that altitude before (per the comments in avherald). I didn't know birds flew that high.

    • ardel95 4 hours ago

      Demoiselle crane flies over Himalayas and over Everest during its yearly migration, so it'd be flying at least 30k feet high.

      I only know that from Planet Earth documentary, which was such a great show!

    • grapesodaaaaa 6 hours ago

      In this case, it should be easy to detect genetic or biological material if it was a meat sack strike & rule out space debris. They don’t tend to do well when hit at several hundred mph.

      The only other thing really up that high would be space debris, weather balloon payload (the balloon itself is very thin and soft), or maybe a sounding rocket (but don’t these come with NOTAMs?).

      • potato3732842 3 hours ago

        Or just look for the blood splat.

        A bird at hundreds of miles an hour leaves a heck of a blood trail.

        • fyver an hour ago

          He took a duck in the face at 250 knots.

    • gus_massa 2 hours ago

      It hit the plane on the front. Doesn't something like a bird that flies at a stable altitude increase the chance of a collision on the front?

    • ChrisMarshallNY 7 hours ago

      I can't remember the species, but there's a bird that files crazy high. I think it's a vulture.

      • marcosdumay 7 hours ago

        Yes, vultures can fly crazy high, and do a lot of damage to aircraft.

        They are a well-known nemesis of military planes, that fly faster and don't have redundancy to survive a hit.

        • dotancohen 7 hours ago

          It should be noted that many species are occasionally hit at altitudes thought to be impossible for them to fly at.

          One notable example: https://news.alaskaair.com/alaska-airlines/flying-fish/

        • ChrisMarshallNY 4 hours ago

          That probably depends on the plane.

          The A-10 Warthog is known for being quite tough. It operates relatively slowly, at small-arms altitudes, so it can take a licking.

        • michaelcampbell 5 hours ago

          > They are a well-known nemesis of military planes, that fly faster and don't have redundancy to survive a hit.

          Wait, military aircraft have LESS redundancy to survive "hits" than civil?

          • potato3732842 3 hours ago

            >Wait, military aircraft have LESS redundancy to survive "hits" than civil?

            How many single engine civilian jets are there?

          • marcosdumay 4 hours ago

            AFAIK (what is not much on the military side), fighters are all optimized for performance, and not resilience. And fighters that work on improving the crew options focus on survivability instead of resilience because it tends to weight less.

            As a result, resilience isn't great.

            Bombers and logistic planes have redundancy.

            • thayne an hour ago

              I guess they just have a big enough budget that losing millions of dollars of plane to a bird isn't a big deal?

            • lazide 3 hours ago

              F22. F14. F18.

          • hollerith 3 hours ago

            The small ones have less, yes. In compensation, they have ejection seats.

          • wkat4242 5 hours ago

            Um yeah that's really surprising considering military planes are designed for situations where there are being shot at.

            • B1FF_PSUVM 4 hours ago

              I'd guess they mostly try to "move fast and don't get broken" ...

          • mynegation 5 hours ago

            Civil aircraft usually have at least two engines and military - usually one.

            • lazide 5 hours ago

              Haha, no. Most military aircraft have multiple engines.

              • topkai22 4 hours ago

                That might be technically true, but the F35 and F16 are both single engine aircraft and IIRC constitute the bulk of at least the US air force’s combat aircraft.

                • lazide 4 hours ago

                  B2, F117, B52, P9, F22, F14, F18, C130, C17, C5, CH47, AH-64, SR71, U2, A10, and on and on just to give some recent examples.

                  There are a few single engine aircraft roles (including the F104), but they are not and have never been the bulk of active serving aircraft. It isn’t just ‘technically’ true.

krisoft 8 hours ago

> Apparently only one layer of the windshield was damaged

How does that square with the picture of the pilot’s arm with tiny cuts? Did the space debris only damage the internal layer? Something is not adding up to me here.

  • gnarlouse 8 hours ago

    Maybe the outermost layers just transferred the energy to the innermost, which exploded tiny shards of glass? In general though, I agree, weird.

    • Jalad 7 hours ago

      And in tank warfare this is called spalling

      A projectile hits the armor and doesn't penetrate it, but the armor inside still fragments and injured the operators

      • hinkley 5 hours ago

        > Spalling

        This was also adopted by The Expanse, where the interiors of ships (particularly war ships) are coated in antispalling coatings.

        • lotrjohn 4 hours ago

          Hey bossman thanks for pointing this out. Will have to look for it next time I watch. Yam seng.

          • hinkley 3 hours ago

            It’s mentioned in the books, kopeng. I think it comes up in some of the repair scenes, but there’s such a jargon dump in many of them that it might slip by. Naomi is caressing some of it at one point, like she’s petting a cat. Which is not far off from how she sees the Roci.

        • flashman 4 hours ago

          didn't help Shed Garvey lol

          • hinkley 3 hours ago

            My read is that it works mostly for battle shrapnel and space mining accidents and does nothing for kinetic weapons, hit or miss for micrometeoroids.

    • hinkley 5 hours ago

      That would be two layers though.

      But the coloration in the window sure suggests spalling. I’m surprised the tempered glass did that much damage. That takes a lot of velocity. Which is probably why they aren’t thinking bird.

  • crazygringo 5 hours ago

    Came here to ask the same thing -- something is missing from the reporting because this makes absolutely no sense.

  • squirtle24 2 hours ago

    I suspect the cuts on the pilot's arm are from BEFORE the incident. The blood looks a pretty dried up and the yellowish streaks look like some kind of antiseptic ointment was applied. The oval shaped wound closest to the camera looks like it's been healing. Could be wrong though.

    • Nition an hour ago

      Now I'm just imagining the object hitting the window, the pilot looking down at his arm injury from the bowl of petunias that hit the plane yesterday, and thinking "not again."

    • onionisafruit an hour ago

      Why would there be a picture of the arm circulating if the injuries are from another incident? I won’t dispute your analysis of the photo because I don’t know anything about the subject

      • squirtle24 42 minutes ago

        Edit: I take that back. Another photo has emerged showing more blood. [1]

        None of the articles I have seen have said the lacerations are a result of the "space debris" incident. The linked article simply says "One of the photos shows a pilot’s arm peppered with small cuts and scratches", and which is not the same as "the pilot said the shattering glass caused the cuts you see on his arm."

        I am saying it is possible that the pilot had a previous, unrelated injury, and it just so happened to be captured in the picture of the windshield. That picture is going viral because it was likely one of the first pics from the incident, but it does not mean his injuries are necessarily from the incident. I was only pointing this out based on the way the blood looked more dried up and treated/healing.

        [1] https://www.reddit.com/r/ThatLookedExpensive/comments/1oalnx...

hughes 8 hours ago

There should be small pieces of whatever they hit embedded in the body & glass of the aircraft. As long as they are analyzed, the cause of this won't remain a mystery forever.

  • shrx 7 hours ago

    Unless it was hail.

  • Reason077 7 hours ago

    My first thought was that this is more likely to be a spontaneous failure of the windshield glass under pressure, due to manufacturing flaw or improper maintenance. Things like that have certainly happened before. But then again, it seems weird that glass fragments would be projected inward in that scenario.

    • rootusrootus 6 hours ago

      There are pictures of the outside where you can clearly see impact damage to the top of the window frame.

    • WalterBright 7 hours ago

      > it seems weird that glass fragments would be projected inward in that scenario

      At speed, I don't know what the outside pressure on the windshield would be, but I'd be surprised if it was lower than the cabin air pressure.

      After all, it is called a wind "shield".

      • icegreentea2 6 hours ago

        Plugging in 35k ft altitude, and 775 ft/s velocity here (https://www.spaceworks.aero/fcc2/index.html) gives dynamic pressure of 220 lb/ft2, vs ~2100 lb/ft2 for 1atm at sea level (the same calculator says 7k ft altitude has a static pressure of ~1600 lb/ft2, or rough idea of cabin air pressure).

        • WalterBright 5 hours ago

          The static pressure at 30,000 feet would have to be added in, around 550 lb/ft2, so it looks like the pressure inside is greater than outside.

          • the_arun 4 hours ago

            At that height if windows are damaged enough to hurt captain or pilot, would the flight lose balance because of air coming in? How did they land in that situation? There is no mention of that in the article.

            • Reason077 4 hours ago

              The laminated glass did not fully break. It appears only the inner layer shattered, and cabin pressure was not lost.

              It has happened before that cockpit windows have failed at altitude resulting in explosive decompression, and the plane still landed successfully. For example, British Airways Flight 5390:

              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Airways_Flight_5390

              • o11c 12 minutes ago

                Hm, has something been done about the "cannot hear the radio" problem since then?

            • WalterBright 3 hours ago

              The airplane shouldn't be affected much by a blown out window. However, the blast in the captain's face might make it very difficult for him to see or even breath. If he could get his oxygen mask on, which I think has goggles, he should be ok.

            • ctippett 4 hours ago

              The article mentions there was no depressurisation, meaning the was no breach of the fuselage/windshield.

    • SoftTalker 7 hours ago

      Don't worry, if it can be blamed on Boeing, it will be.

      • pdabbadabba 6 hours ago

        Well, they do make satellites...

      • hsbauauvhabzb 7 hours ago

        Not unless you want to be spontaneously hit by a falling meteorite yourself in some kind of freak accident / suicide scenario.

thayne an hour ago

The article itself says the object was probably a weather balloon, not space debris, and the title of the article is now "United MAX Hit by Falling Object at 36,000 Feet".

Maybe the title here should be updated?

Stevvo 6 hours ago

My first guess would a bird. Bird strikes happen all the time; there are billions of birds. Next guess would be a drone; there are a lot more drones flying around than spacecraft.

  • michaelcampbell 5 hours ago

    At 36000'?

    • hinkley 5 hours ago

      Ruppell’s Griffon Vulture is the only bird clocked that high, but my understanding is that we’ve been moving estimates higher for a bunch of birds over the last couple of decades. Absence of proof and proof of absence and so forth. I think people have been paying more attention.

      That vulture looks like a big boy too. So not impossible.

      Edit: this bird is South American, adapted to the Andes, which is a bit of a hike to Colorado.

      • delfinom 2 hours ago

        Doubt birds can leave damage on the metal frame of the window like the case here. It looks like metal on metal contact

jbverschoor 6 hours ago

Out of all planes, it had to be the 737 max

  • conradev 5 hours ago

    On track to be the most popular model for US domestic travel, replacing the older 737s

    • herewulf 10 minutes ago

      I'm sticking to Airbus for the foreseeable future. Though there are plenty of older Boeings still flying too.

    • hinkley 5 hours ago

      It’s gonna be like Honda Accord thefts. Super common car, with certain attributes that make is slightly more tempting.

  • bombcar 3 hours ago

    That’s why I only fly the 737 Pro Max.

  • cdelsolar 5 hours ago

    i remember i had a plane flight that was horrendously delayed once, and then finally when we hop on board they make an announcement about it being a 737 Max and I laughed, thinking they were joking...

fracus 5 hours ago

Isn't the speed of descent of objects falling out of orbit so great they usually burn up before hitting the ground, and wouldn't that speed cause them to easily penetrate into the interior of the plane?

  • mikkupikku 5 hours ago

    If an object survives reentry far enough to be at airliner altitudes, it will have significantly slowed down already and probably be falling at or near terminal velocity. Of course it depends on the shape and density of the object.

sandworm101 3 hours ago

My money is on drone.

There are more drones up there than falling rocks. There are probably more classified drones up there than falling rocket parts. I suspect this aircraft collided with something far more terrestrial. Something with its transponder off. Any chinese balloons over denver at the moment?

ErikCorry 6 hours ago

Classic Azimov plot line

kleiba 8 hours ago

What are the odds?

  • seltzered_ 7 hours ago
    • tavavex 7 hours ago

      Much higher than a few decades back, but still effectively zero. Even after putting up X thousands of satellites up into orbit, they still physically cover a tiny total surface area. And the same goes for planes. So two of these colliding would be a monumental freak accident, which is why I'm still assuming it's not space debris until more information shows up.

  • michaelcampbell 5 hours ago

    Given that it happened, 100%?

    • cdelsolar 5 hours ago

      50-50, either it happens, or it doesn't

  • inopinatus 6 hours ago

    A million to one, they said.

    • PLenz 4 hours ago

      But it has to be _exactly_ a million to one

    • antod 6 hours ago

      That's if it was coming from Mars specifically.

JackAcid 6 hours ago

Dude's arm looks like scabs and I don't see anywhere that claims they are related to the impact.

  • delfinom 2 hours ago

    His arm is covered in sharpnel wounds from the windshield being shattered due to the energy of impact. That is how sharpnel wounds look like. There's a good chance he went to the hospital later to get the glass pulled out of his arm.

  • sml156 4 hours ago

    Can you tell me why the left window appears to be held on with a really big paperclip.

saltyoldman 10 hours ago

It definitely would more likely be a meteorite than anything else.

  • SteveNuts 7 hours ago

    What makes a meteorite more likely

    • doodlebugging 4 hours ago

      We are nearly at the peak of the annual Orionid meteor shower. [0] There should be a higher probability of encountering meteor debris during this period than during periods where there are no meteor showers in progress. We are passing through the debris from Halley's Comet right now and for about another two weeks.

      [0]https://www.space.com/stargazing/meteor-showers/orionid-mete...

    • schoen 7 hours ago

      Just that many more of them are present in the atmosphere than reentering space debris pieces.

      • JumpCrisscross 7 hours ago

        > many more of them are present in the atmosphere

        At 36,000 feet?

        • amelius 6 hours ago

          Why not? What comes down must come from somewhere up.

      • natebc 6 hours ago

        still a lot more birds than meteorites or spacecraft.

        • dboreham 5 hours ago

          There are not many birds at cruising altitude. Some, but not many.

russdill 6 hours ago

Could this be from another plane on the same nav route but higher altitude?

cdelsolar 5 hours ago

Anyone else think about that Asimov robot story with the "intuitive" robot "Jane"? She had discovered which stars were most likely to have planets around them with the right conditions for life and was flying back on an airplane with her human handler when it was hit by a meteorite.

ecommerceguy 7 hours ago

Wasn't there a significant Starlink deorbiting recently?

JCM9 5 hours ago

Not clear yet what happened but from the exterior photos it’s pretty obvious they struck something.

Space debris isn’t implausible, although there are several other possibilities too.

neverkn0wsb357 4 hours ago

If this did happen to be space debris as a result of human activity then the likelihood that this becomes a more common occurrence is likely seeing how Kuiper and Starlink are looking to have somewhere around 42,000 satellites and it currently has around 8,000; Kuiper also has similar ambitions.

  • ocdtrekkie 4 hours ago

    Even with that the odds of this have to be less likely than winning the lottery while getting bit by a shark that was simultaneously struck by lightning.

  • mlindner 4 hours ago

    Starlink satellites demise upon re-entry though so they're not going to be the cause.